DAY ONE - Monday 29 April 2010

8:30 Registration and coffee

09:00 Robust portfolio construction for volatile marketsIdentifying the key concerns: Liquidity risk, transparency & volatility

  • Identifying the scope for risk budgeting given by the client
  • Identifying the key concerns: liquidity, transparency and volatility
  • What are the lessons of the current markets for portfolio construction?
  • Portfolio construction: a broad overview of methods and processes
  • Understanding the link between advice portfolio and real exposure
  • Re-balancing: when?

Daan Potjer, Managing Partner and Fund Manager, AETHRA ASSET MANAGEMENT

10:30 Morning break

11:00 Modelling risk and return in the real world

  • Applying asset allocation models in the real world
  • Black-Litterman and other Bayesian approaches to modelling risk and return
  • Incorporating time-varying volatility and other real world market characteristics
  • Practical stress testing and its application in portfolio construction
  • Thinking outside the box

Malcolm Kemp, Managing Director, NEMATRIAN

12:30 Lunch

13:30 Portfolio construction issues in life cycle investments

    • Accumulation phase
    • Capital protection mechanisms
    • Decumulation phase
    • Guaranteed pension income for life
    • Variable annuities
    • Time horizons

    Professor Michael Dempster, UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE and MD, CAMBRIDGE SYSTEMS ASSOCIATES LIMITED

    15.00 Afternoon break

    15.30 Tail risk management

    • Hedging against tail risk
    • Analysing tail risk through scenario generation and selection
    • Dynamic modelling of tail risk
    • Modelling non-normal distribution

    Rishi Thapar, Senior Quantitative Analyst, INTERNATIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT

    17.30 End of day one

    DAY TWO - Tuesday 30 April 2010

    8:30 Registration and coffee

    09:00 Factor model based multi-asset portfolio construction

    • Diversifying a portfolio across factors rather than across assets or asset classes
    • Statistical factor models (PCA- Principal component analysis)
    • Fundamental factor models
    • Quantitatively constructing multi-asset portfolios that reflects qualitative views

    Pierre Sarrau, Managing Director, Risk and Quantitative Analysis, BLACKROCK

    10:30 Morning break

    11:00 Dynamic asset allocation strategies

    • Why use dynamic asset allocation?
    • Qualitative vs. quantitative approaches
    • Asset allocation techniques

    David King, Head of Multi Asset Quantitative Research, SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT

    12:30 Lunch

    13:30 The use of downside risk measures in portfolio construction

    • Measuring downside risk
      o Defining volatility issues
    • Minimizing downside risk
      o Maximum drawdown
      o VaR and Conditional VaR
      o Low partial moments
      o Skewness
    • Practical issues involved in its implementation

    Rishi Thapar, Senior Quantitative Analyst, INTERNATIONAL ASSET MANAGEMENT

    14:30 Afternoon break

    15:00 Tail-risk budgeting

    • Extreme downside risk budgeting: bringing tail-risk allocation in line with return expectation
      o Marginal & incremental VaR & CVaR
      o Implied return expectation using CVaR optimality

    Marc Gross, Managing Director, DARKSTAR CAPITAL

    16:30 End of course