South Africa - Programme

Day one – Monday 22 June, 2009

08:30 Registration and coffee

09:00 Knowing your counterparty

• Operational due diligence
• Understanding your counterparties practices
• Understanding revenue generation
• Estimating default probability
• Using rating systems
• Rating in the current market

Mzimkulu Njamela
Deputy Head, SOUTH AFRICAN RESERVE BANK

10:30 Morning break

11:00 Pricing counterparty risk

• Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) and the price of counterparty risk
• Contract level vs. counterparty level
• CVA and risk neutral expected exposure
• Simulating risk neutral exposure
• Pricing new trades with a counterparty

James Taylor
Quantitative Analyst, STANDARD BANK

12:30 Lunch

13:30 Measuring counterparty risk through modelling credit exposure

• Uncertainty of future credit exposure
• Monte Carlo simulation of potential future exposure
• Accounting for netting agreements
• Accounting for margin agreements
• Accounting for early termination agreements

David Rowe
Executive VP, SUNGARD ADAPTIV

15:00 Afternoon break

15:30 Managing wrong way risk

• General and specific wrong way risk
• Wrong way exposure
• Modelling wrong way risk
• Effective measures to deal with wrong way risk

David Rowe
Executive VP, SUNGARD ADAPTIV

17:00 End of day one

Day two – Tuesday 23 June, 2009

08:30 Registration and breakfast

09:00 Calculating economic and regulatory capital

• General modelling of economic capital for credit risk
• Allocation of economic capital
• Economic capital with stochastic exposures
• Replacing stochastic exposures with loan equivalent exposures
• Regulatory capital for the trading book

Andre Blaauw
Group Chief Risk Officer, UNITED BANK OF AFRICA
10:30 Morning break

11:00 Collateral as a risk mitigation tool counterparty credit risk

• Collateral management
• Collateral posting
• Offsetting collateral

Jody Mitchelmore,
Head Risk Management, RAND MERCHANT BANK
12:30 Lunch

13:30 Using Credit Default Swaps (CDS) to hedge counterparty risk

• Hedging jump to default risk with CDS
• Hedging CVA against changes in the market factors
• Static hedging using contingent CDS
• Risk return under a hedge framework

Lawrence Madzwara
Head, Credit Derivatives, NEDBANK
15:00 Afternoon break

15:30 Development of central counterparties

• The role of central counterparties
• Dealing through an exchange
• Futures versus forwards

Graham Smale,
Consultant, SOUTH AFRICA BOND EXCHANGE
17:00 Close of seminar